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Are there enormous age-trends in stable carbon isotope ratios of oak tree rings?
Author(s) -
Danny McCarroll,
Josie E. Duffy,
Neil J. Loader,
Giles Young,
D. E. Davies,
Daniel Miles,
Christopher Bronk Ramsey
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
the holocene
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.008
H-Index - 117
eISSN - 1477-0911
pISSN - 0959-6836
DOI - 10.1177/0959683620941073
Subject(s) - dendrochronology , stable isotope ratio , isotopes of carbon , radiocarbon dating , series (stratigraphy) , dendroclimatology , physical geography , isotope , climatology , carbon fibers , atmospheric sciences , environmental science , geology , geography , mathematics , paleontology , nuclear physics , physics , algorithm , composite number
We test a recent prediction that stable carbon isotope ratios from UK oaks will display age-trends of more than 4‰ per century by measuring >5400 carbon isotope ratios from the late-wood alpha-cellulose of individual rings from 18 modern oak trees and 50 building timbers spanning the 9th-21st centuries. After a very short (c.5 years) juvenile phase with slightly elevated values, the number of series that show rising and falling trends is almost equal (33:35) and the average trend is almost zero. These results are based upon measuring and averaging the trends in individual time-series; the 'mean of the slopes' approach. We demonstrate that the more conventional 'slope of the mean' approach can produce strong but spurious 'age-trends' even when the constituent series are flat, with zero slope and zero variance. We conclude that it is safe to compile stable carbon isotope chronologies from UK oaks without de-trending. The isotope chronologies produced in this way are not subject to the 'segment length curse', which applies to growth measurements, such as ring width or density, and have the potential to retain very long-term climate signals.

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