Open AccessDo Residency Applicant Measures Predict Future Performance?
Author(s) -
Shonka David C.,
Christophel John J.,
Kesser Bradley W.
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
otolaryngology–head and neck surgery
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.232
H-Index - 121
eISSN - 1097-6817
pISSN - 0194-5998
DOI - 10.1177/0194599812451438
Subject(s) - medicine , residency training , correlation , otorhinolaryngology , united states medical licensing examination , medical school , predictive validity , family medicine , medical education , surgery , clinical psychology , mathematics , geometry , continuing education
Objective To determine if residency applicant measures are predictive of resident performance. Method A retrospective review of the residents graduating from 2006‐2012 was performed. Residency applicant measures including board scores, medical school grades, and applicant rank were recorded. These were compared to measures of resident performance including otolaryngology training exam (OTE) scores and composite 360° evaluation scores obtained during the final year of residency. Results Data was available on 20 residents. Residency applicant board scores were minimally predictive of resident OTE scores during the final year of residency ( r 2 = 0.377). There was no significant correlation between board scores and performance on evaluations ( r 2 = 0.10). Grade received during the surgical clerkship had an inverse correlation with performance on the OTE ( r 2 = 0.13). The surgical clerkship grade also had no correlation with evaluation score ( r 2 = 0.04). Most notably, applicant rank had minimal correlation with final resident performance as measured by composite evaluation score ( r 2 = 0.06). Conclusion Commonly used measures of applicant quality are minimally predictive of ultimate resident performance. Further studies are indicated to identify better predictors of resident performance.