Fight or Flight: Endogenous Timing in Conflicts
Author(s) -
Boris van Leeuwen,
Theo Offerman,
Jeroen van de Ven
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
the review of economics and statistics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 8.999
H-Index - 165
eISSN - 1530-9142
pISSN - 0034-6535
DOI - 10.1162/rest_a_00961
Subject(s) - battle , value (mathematics) , bayesian game , key (lock) , adversary , economics , sorting , private information retrieval , microeconomics , computer security , advertising , sequential game , game theory , law and economics , computer science , business , history , archaeology , machine learning , programming language
We study a dynamic game in which players compete for a prize. In a waiting game with two-sided private information about strength levels, players choose fighting, fleeing, or waiting. Players earn a “deterrence value” on top of the prize if their opponent escapes without a battle. We show that this value is a key determinant of the type of equilibrium. For intermediate values, sorting takes place, with weaker players fleeing before others fight. Time then helps to reduce battles. In an experiment, we find support for the key theoretical predictions and document suboptimal predatory fighting.
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