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Fiscal Stimulus with Spending Reversals
Author(s) -
Giancarlo Corsetti,
André Meier,
Gernot J. Müller
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
the review of economics and statistics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 8.999
H-Index - 165
eISSN - 1530-9142
pISSN - 0034-6535
DOI - 10.1162/rest_a_00233
Subject(s) - economics , government spending , fiscal policy , stimulus (psychology) , debt , monetary economics , new keynesian economics , public spending , general equilibrium theory , short run , government debt , macroeconomics , monetary policy , welfare , politics , political science , law , market economy , psychotherapist , psychology
Posted Online November 9, 2012.The short-run effects of fiscal policy depend not only on current tax and spending choices, but also on expectations about future policy adjustment. While general equilibrium models typically restrict mediumterm adjustment to taxation, we highlight the importance of government spending dynamics. First, we provide time series evidence for the United States suggesting that an exogenous increase in government spending prompts a rise in public debt, followed over time by a reduction in spending below trend. Second, we show how expected spending reversals alter the short-run impact of fiscal policy in a new Keynesian model, bringing it closer in line with the evidence

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