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POLITICAL REPUTATIONS AND CAMPAIGN PROMISES
Author(s) -
Aragonès Enriqueta,
Postlewaite Andrew,
Palfrey Thomas
Publication year - 2007
Publication title -
journal of the european economic association
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 7.792
H-Index - 93
eISSN - 1542-4774
pISSN - 1542-4766
DOI - 10.1162/jeea.2007.5.4.846
Subject(s) - reputation , ideology , politics , value (mathematics) , function (biology) , economics , affect (linguistics) , microeconomics , political science , advertising , positive economics , business , psychology , computer science , law , communication , machine learning , evolutionary biology , biology
We analyze conditions under which candidates' reputations may affect voters' beliefs over what policy will be implemented by the winning candidate of an election. We develop a model of repeated elections with complete information in which candidates are purely ideological. We analyze an equilibrium in which voters' strategies involve a credible threat to punish candidates who renege on their campaign promises and in which all campaign promises are believed by voters and honored by candidates. We characterize the maximal credible campaign promises and find that the degree to which promises are credible in equilibrium is an increasing function of the value of a candidate's reputation. (JEL: D8)

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