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Lazy Network: A Word Embedding‐Based Temporal Financial Network to Avoid Economic Shocks in Asset Pricing Models
Author(s) -
George Adosoglou,
Seonho Park,
Gianfranco Lombardo,
Stefano Cagi,
Pãnos M. Pardalos
Publication year - 2022
Publication title -
complexity
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.447
H-Index - 61
eISSN - 1099-0526
pISSN - 1076-2787
DOI - 10.1155/2022/9430919
Subject(s) - computer science , capital asset pricing model , embedding , asset (computer security) , word (group theory) , finance , economics , artificial intelligence , mathematics , computer security , geometry
Public companies in the US stock market must annually report their activities and financial performances to the SEC by filing the so-called 10-K form. Recent studies have demonstrated that changes in the textual content of the corporate annual filing (10-K) can convey strong signals of companies’ future returns. In this study, we combine natural language processing techniques and network science to introduce a novel 10-K-based network, named Lazy Network, that leverages year-on-year changes in companies’ 10-Ks detected using a neural network embedding model. The Lazy Network aims to capture textual changes derived from financial or economic changes on the equity market. Leveraging the Lazy Network, we present a novel investment strategy that attempts to select the least disrupted and stable companies by capturing the peripheries of the Lazy Network. We show that this strategy earns statistically significant risk-adjusted excess returns. Specifically, the proposed portfolios yield up to 95 basis points in monthly five-factor alphas (over 12% annually), outperforming similar strategies in the literature.

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