Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce | Zendy

Weizhe Mu | Zendy

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Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce

Author(s) -

Weizhe Mu

Publication year - 2022

Publication title -

discrete dynamics in nature and society

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.264

H-Index - 39

eISSN - 1607-887X

pISSN - 1026-0226

DOI - 10.1155/2022/5140939

Subject(s) - risk analysis (engineering) , economic shortage , risk management , computer science , humanitarian logistics , business , key (lock) , operations research , operations management , process management , computer security , finance , linguistics , philosophy , government (linguistics) , engineering , economics

Logistics is a key aspect of cross-border e-commerce (CBEC). If any link of logistics fails, the outcome of CBEC may fall shortage of expectation. Logistics risks are now major bottlenecks of CBEC development. Therefore, it is important to study CBEC logistics risks. This paper divides CBEC logistics risks into environmental risks, management risks, operation risks, and clearance risks and establishes a Bayesian model to warn CBEC logistics risks. Then, GeNIe software was employed to simulate the model, and an empirical analysis was conducted through forward prediction and reverse diagnosis. The results help enterprises to intuitively identify risk reducers, formulate effective risk control schemes, and thereby reduce CBEC logistics risks.

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