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An Extra Tree Regression Model for Discharge Coefficient Prediction: Novel, Practical Applications in the Hydraulic Sector and Future Research Directions
Author(s) -
Mohammed Majeed Hameed,
Mohamed Khalid AlOmar,
Faidhalrahman Khaleel,
Nadhir AlAnsari
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
mathematical problems in engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.262
H-Index - 62
eISSN - 1026-7077
pISSN - 1024-123X
DOI - 10.1155/2021/7001710
Subject(s) - coefficient of determination , mathematics , mean squared error , correlation coefficient , tree (set theory) , sensitivity (control systems) , regression , machine learning , algorithm , artificial intelligence , statistics , computer science , engineering , combinatorics , electronic engineering
Despite modern advances used to estimate the discharge coefficient ( C d ), it is still a major challenge for hydraulic engineers to accurately determine C d for side weirs. In this study, extra tree regression (ETR) was used to predict the C d of rectangular sharp-crested side weirs depending on hydraulic and geometrical parameters. The prediction capacity of the ETR model was validated with two predictive models, namely, extreme learning machine (ELM) and random forest (RF). The quantitative assessment revealed that the ETR model achieved the highest accuracy in the predictions compared to other applied models, and also, it exhibited excellent agreement between measured and predicted C d (correlation coefficient is 0.9603). Moreover, the ETR achieved 6.73% and 22.96% higher prediction accuracy in terms of root mean square error in comparison to ELM and RF, respectively. Furthermore, the performed sensitivity analysis shows that the geometrical parameter such as b/B has the most influence on C d . Overall, the proposed model (ETR) is found to be a suitable, practical, and qualified computer-aid technology for C d modeling that may contribute to enhance the basic knowledge of hydraulic considerations.

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