An Empirical Analysis of Oil and Stock Markets’ Volatility Based on the DGC-MSV-t Model
Author(s) -
Jing Zhang,
Yaming Zhuang,
JiaBao Liu
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
journal of mathematics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.252
H-Index - 13
eISSN - 2314-4785
pISSN - 2314-4629
DOI - 10.1155/2021/6270525
Subject(s) - spillover effect , crude oil , volatility (finance) , stock market , stock (firearms) , brent crude , economics , west texas intermediate , econometrics , financial economics , oil price , stock market index , monetary economics , petroleum engineering , macroeconomics , mechanical engineering , paleontology , horse , biology , engineering
We investigate the spillover effect between crude oil future prices, crude oil spot prices, and stock index by using the multivariate stochastic volatility model. These tests between each market show the significant Granger causes of spillover effect. More and more evidences show that the crude oil price has been affected by other financial markets. The oil future played an important role in the energy market. WTI and Brent oil future have more spillover effect than INE oil future. The result shows that S&P stock market is more sensitive to the oil price than Shanghai stock market. The cross-market spillover effect we found can give some advices for the investor of oil and stock market. DIC test shows that DGC-MSV-t is considered effective and more accurate.
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