Optimal Selling Strategies under Regime-Switching Market Environment with Finite Expiry
Author(s) -
Jie Xing,
Taoshun He
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
discrete dynamics in nature and society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.264
H-Index - 39
eISSN - 1607-887X
pISSN - 1026-0226
DOI - 10.1155/2021/5920285
Subject(s) - trinomial , stock (firearms) , optimal stopping , stock market , time horizon , econometrics , computer science , economics , mathematics , mathematical optimization , mechanical engineering , paleontology , discrete mathematics , horse , engineering , biology
This paper addresses an optimal stock liquidation problem over a finite-time horizon; to that end, we model it as an optimal stopping problem in a regime-switching market. The optimal stopping time is written as a solution to a system of Volterra type integral equations. Moreover, it reveals that when the risk-free interest rate is always lower than the return rate of the stock, it is never optimal to sell the stock early; otherwise, one should sell the stock in bear market if the stock price reaches a critical value and hold the stock in bull market until the maturity date. Finally, we present a trinomial tree method for numerical implementation. The numerical results are consistent with the theoretical findings.
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