Forecasting the Effects of the New SARS-CoV-2 Variant in Europe | Zendy

Iván Area | Zendy; Juan J. Nieto | Zendy

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Forecasting the Effects of the New SARS-CoV-2 Variant in Europe

Author(s) -

Iván Area,

Juan J. Nieto

Publication year - 2021

Publication title -

the scientific world journal

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.453

H-Index - 93

eISSN - 2356-6140

pISSN - 1537-744X

DOI - 10.1155/2021/5553240

Subject(s) - pandemic , covid-19 , context (archaeology) , infectivity , virology , computer science , biology , medicine , virus , outbreak , infectious disease (medical specialty) , disease , paleontology

Due to the emergence of a new SARS-CoV-2 variant, we use a previous model to simulate the behaviour of this new SARS-CoV-2 variant. The analysis and simulations are performed for Europe, in order to provide a global analysis of the pandemic. In this context, numerical results are obtained in the first 100 days of the pandemic assuming an infectivity of 70%, 56%, and 35%, respectively, higher for the new SAR-CoV-2 variant, as compared with the real data.

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