The Hopf Bifurcation Analysis and Optimal Control of a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model | Zendy

Abdelhadi Abta | Zendy; Hassan Laarabi | Zendy; Hamad Talibi Alaoui | Zendy

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The Hopf Bifurcation Analysis and Optimal Control of a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model

Author(s) -

Abdelhadi Abta,

Hassan Laarabi,

Hamad Talibi Alaoui

Publication year - 2014

Publication title -

international journal of analysis

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

eISSN - 2314-4998

pISSN - 2314-498X

DOI - 10.1155/2014/940819

Subject(s) - hopf bifurcation , stability (learning theory) , bifurcation , mathematics , value (mathematics) , epidemic model , incidence (geometry) , algorithm , computer science , statistics , physics , demography , geometry , machine learning , nonlinear system , population , quantum mechanics , sociology

We propose a delayed SIR model with saturated incidence rate. The delay is incorporated into the model in order to model the latent period. The basic reproductive numberR0 is obtained. Furthermore, using time delay as a bifurcation parameter, it is proven that there exists a critical value of delay for the stability of diseases prevalence. When the delay exceeds the critical value, the system loses its stability and a Hopf bifurcation occurs. The model is extended to assessthe impact of some control measures, by reformulating the model as an optimal control problem with vaccination and treatment. The existence of the optimal control is also proved. Finally, some numerical simulations are performed to verify the theoreticalanalysis

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