Daily Crude Oil Price Forecasting Using Hybridizing Wavelet and Artificial Neural Network Model | Zendy

Ani Shabri | Zendy; Ruhaidah Samsudin | Zendy

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Daily Crude Oil Price Forecasting Using Hybridizing Wavelet and Artificial Neural Network Model

Author(s) -

Ani Shabri,

Ruhaidah Samsudin

Publication year - 2014

Publication title -

mathematical problems in engineering

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.262

H-Index - 62

eISSN - 1026-7077

pISSN - 1024-123X

DOI - 10.1155/2014/201402

Subject(s) - west texas intermediate , crude oil , series (stratigraphy) , artificial neural network , brent crude , spot contract , wavelet transform , wavelet , econometrics , oil price , mathematics , computer science , artificial intelligence , economics , engineering , petroleum engineering , financial economics , geology , paleontology , monetary economics , futures contract

A new method based on integrating discrete wavelet transform and artificial neural networks (WANN) model for daily crude oil price forecasting is proposed. The discrete Mallat wavelet transform is used to decompose the crude price series into one approximation series and some details series (DS). The new series obtained by adding the effective one approximation series and DS component is then used as input into the ANN model to forecast crude oil price. The relative performance of WANN model was compared to regular ANN model for crude oil forecasting at lead times of 1 day for two main crude oil price series, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil spot prices. In both cases, WANN model was found to provide more accurate crude oil prices forecasts than individual ANN model

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