Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event | Zendy

Liang’an Huo | Zendy; Tingting Lin | Zendy; Huang Pei-qing | Zendy

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Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event

Author(s) -

Liang’an Huo,

Tingting Lin,

Huang Pei-qing

Publication year - 2013

Publication title -

abstract and applied analysis

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.228

H-Index - 56

eISSN - 1687-0409

pISSN - 1085-3375

DOI - 10.1155/2013/282394

Subject(s) - rumor , economic shortage , transmission (telecommunications) , event (particle physics) , stability (learning theory) , china , information transmission , computer science , econometrics , mathematics , telecommunications , physics , political science , public relations , law , philosophy , computer network , linguistics , quantum mechanics , machine learning , government (linguistics)

A rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor-endemic equilibrium, we showed that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the rumor persists. Finally, recommendations for policy makers and consulting advice for related commissions are explored in the case study of crazy rumors propagated for the iodized sail shortage panic in China

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