Principal Possibility of the Successful Nowcast and Short-Term Forecast in the Middle Atmosphere Based on the Observed UV Irradiance
Author(s) -
Tatiana Egorova,
Eugene Rozanov,
A. V. Shapiro,
W. Schmütz
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
international journal of geophysics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.253
H-Index - 19
eISSN - 1687-8868
pISSN - 1687-885X
DOI - 10.1155/2012/298431
Subject(s) - irradiance , atmosphere (unit) , environmental science , stratosphere , atmospheric sciences , satellite , solar irradiance , mesosphere , term (time) , meteorology , climatology , geology , physics , quantum mechanics , astronomy
We have applied chemistry-climate model (CCM) SOCOL to simulate the distribution of the temperature and gas species in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere. As an input for the simulation, we employ daily spectral solar UV irradiance measured by SUSIM instrument onboard UARS satellite in January 1992. We have carried out an ensemble of nine 1-month long simulations using slightly different initial states of the atmosphere. We have compared the obtained time evolution of the simulated species and temperature with available satellite measurements. The obtained results allowed us to define the areas where the nowcast and short-term forecast of the atmospheric species with CCM SOCOL could be successful
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