Monounireducible Nonhomogeneous Continuous Time Semi-Markov Processes Applied to Rating Migration Models
Author(s) -
Guglielmo D’Amico,
Jacques Janssen,
Raimondo Manca
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
advances in decision sciences
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.178
H-Index - 13
eISSN - 2090-3367
pISSN - 2090-3359
DOI - 10.1155/2012/123635
Subject(s) - markov chain , markov process , order (exchange) , markov renewal process , process (computing) , computer science , markov model , econometrics , distribution (mathematics) , credit rating , function (biology) , markov property , mathematics , mathematical optimization , statistics , economics , actuarial science , finance , machine learning , mathematical analysis , biology , evolutionary biology , operating system
Monounireducible nonhomogeneous semi-Markov processes are defined and investigated. The mono-unireducible topological structure is a sufficient conditionthat guarantees the absorption of the semi-Markov processin a state of the process. This situation is of fundamentalimportance in the modelling of credit rating migrations because permits the derivation of the distribution function ofthe time of default. An application in credit rating modelling is given in order to illustrate the results
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