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Comprehensive Evaluation of Driver′s Propensity Based on Evidence Theory
Author(s) -
Zhang Jing-lei,
Xiaoyuan Wang,
Song Gao,
Song Yi-qing
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
discrete dynamics in nature and society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.264
H-Index - 39
eISSN - 1607-887X
pISSN - 1026-0226
DOI - 10.1155/2012/103582
Subject(s) - computer science , index (typography) , propensity score matching , operations research , risk analysis (engineering) , statistics , mathematics , business , world wide web
Traffic safety is related closely with driver’s physiological and psychological characteristics. And the influence on traffic safety is represented as driver’s propensity. Evidence theory is introduced to the evaluation system of driver’s propensity in this paper, and it is utilized to combine the expert opinions, which can eliminate unavoidable uncertain elements in the traditional appraisal methods. The appraisal problems of subjective index can also be resolved by this method in the appraisal system. Results show that the method is objective and reasonable, and driver’s propensity can be evaluated effectively

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