A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece | Zendy

Salpasaranis Konstantinos | Zendy; Stylianakis Vasilios | Zendy

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A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece

Author(s) -

Salpasaranis Konstantinos,

Stylianakis Vasilios

Publication year - 2011

Publication title -

modelling and simulation in engineering

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.264

H-Index - 20

eISSN - 1687-5591

pISSN - 1687-5605

DOI - 10.1155/2011/798960

Subject(s) - gompertz function , broadband , econometrics , empirical research , market penetration , computer science , technology forecasting , penetration (warfare) , telecommunications , operations research , engineering , economics , statistics , business , artificial intelligence , mathematics , machine learning , marketing

The objective of this paper is to present a short research about the overall broadband penetration in Greece. In this research, a new empirical deterministic model is proposed for the short-term forecast of the cumulative broadband adoption. The fitting performance of the model is compared with some widely used diffusion models for the cumulative adoption of new telecommunication products, namely, Logistic, Gompertz, Flexible Logistic (FLOG), Box-Cox, Richards, and Bass models. The fitting process is done with broadband penetration official data for Greece. In conclusion, comparing these models with the empirical model, it could be argued that the latter yields well enough statistics indicators for fitting and forecasting performance. It also stresses the need for further research and performance analysis of the model in other more mature broadband markets

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