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Optimal Selling of an Asset under Incomplete Information
Author(s) -
Erik Ekström,
Bing Lu
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
international journal of stochastic analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.19
H-Index - 28
eISSN - 2090-3340
pISSN - 2090-3332
DOI - 10.1155/2011/543590
Subject(s) - asset (computer security) , monotonic function , optimal stopping , boundary (topology) , mathematical economics , mathematics , stopping time , nonlinear system , distribution (mathematics) , complete information , mathematical optimization , computer science , mathematical analysis , statistics , physics , computer security , quantum mechanics
We consider an agent who wants to liquidate an asset with unknown drift. The agent believes that the drift takes one of two given values and has initially an estimate for the probability of either of them. As time goes by, the agent observes the asset price and can thereforeupdate his beliefs about the probabilities for the drift distribution. We formulate an optimal stopping problem that describes the liquidation problem, and we demonstrate that the optimal strategy is to liquidate the first time the asset price falls below a certain time-dependent boundary. Moreover, this boundary is shown to be monotonically increasing, continuous and to satisfy a nonlinear integral equation

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