Modeling Transmission of Tuberculosis with MDR and Undetected Cases | Zendy

Yongqi Liu | Zendy; Zhendong Sun | Zendy; GuiQuan Sun | Zendy; Qiu Zhong | Zendy; Li Jiang | Zendy; Lin Zhou | Zendy; Yupeng Qiao | Zendy; Zhongwei Jia | Zendy

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Modeling Transmission of Tuberculosis with MDR and Undetected Cases

Author(s) -

Yongqi Liu,

Zhendong Sun,

GuiQuan Sun,

Qiu Zhong,

Li Jiang,

Lin Zhou,

Yupeng Qiao,

Zhongwei Jia

Publication year - 2011

Publication title -

discrete dynamics in nature and society

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.264

H-Index - 39

eISSN - 1607-887X

pISSN - 1026-0226

DOI - 10.1155/2011/296905

Subject(s) - computer science , stability theory , tuberculosis , population , algorithm , statistics , mathematics , demography , medicine , physics , pathology , quantum mechanics , nonlinear system , sociology

This paper presents a novel mathematical model with multidrug-resistant (MDR) andundetected TB cases. The theoretical analysis indicates that the disease-free equilibrium isglobally asymptotically stable if R0<1; otherwise, the system may exist a locally asymptoticallystable endemic equilibrium. The model is also used to simulate and predict TB epidemicin Guangdong. The results imply that our model is in agreement with actual data and theundetected rate plays vital role in the TB trend. Our model also implies that TB cannot beeradicated from population if it continues to implement current TB control strategies

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