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Detection of Outliers and Patches in Bilinear Time Series Models
Author(s) -
Ping Chen,
Li Ling,
Ye Liu,
JinGuan Lin
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
mathematical problems in engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.262
H-Index - 62
eISSN - 1026-7077
pISSN - 1024-123X
DOI - 10.1155/2010/580583
Subject(s) - gibbs sampling , outlier , bilinear interpolation , series (stratigraphy) , bayesian probability , monte carlo method , sampling (signal processing) , markov chain monte carlo , bayesian inference , computer science , metropolis–hastings algorithm , time series , algorithm , statistics , mathematics , pattern recognition (psychology) , artificial intelligence , detector , paleontology , telecommunications , biology
We propose a Gibbs sampling algorithm to detect additive outliers and patches of outliers in bilinear time series models based on Bayesian view. We first derive the conditional posterior distributions, and then use the results of first Gibbs run to start the second adaptive Gibbs sampling. It is shown that our procedure could reduce possible effects on masking and swamping. At last, some simulations are performed to demonstrate the efficacy of detection and estimation by Monte Carlo methods

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