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Post-slide investigations suggest that many large-scale submarine landslides occur through marine sensitive clay layers. A nonlinear mathematical model for post-peak degradation of undrained shear strength of sensitive clay is proposed based on experimental results. A method for estimation of model parameters is presented. Incorporating the model, an analytical solution is developed to examine possible mechanisms of large-scale submarine landslides. Analyses are performed for mild infinite slopes where the failure initiates from a “fully weakened zone” of soil having undrained shear strength lower than the shear stress acting parallel to the slope. The driving force, in excess of resistance, generated from the fully weakened zone is then transferred to the surrounding soil elements resulting in shear band formation due to strain-softening behaviour of sensitive clays. When the length of the fully weakened zone is greater than a critical length, catastrophic shear band propagation (self-driven without any additional external force) occurs, which could result in large-scale offshore landslides. A simple design chart is developed to calculate the critical length. Compared with a 2005 study by Puzrin and Germanovich based on a linear post-peak shear strength degradation model, the present study gives a conservative estimation of critical length for catastrophic shear band propagation.

Modeling of large-deformation behaviour of marine sensitive clays and its application to submarine slope stability analysis