Metamodel of a Large Credit Risk Portfolio in the Gaussian Copula Model
Author(s) -
Florian Bourgey,
Emmanuel Gobet,
Clément Rey
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
siam journal on financial mathematics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.251
H-Index - 33
ISSN - 1945-497X
DOI - 10.1137/19m1292084
Subject(s) - copula (linguistics) , gaussian , portfolio , mathematics , metamodeling , econometrics , importance sampling , credit risk , mathematical optimization , computer science , statistics , economics , actuarial science , financial economics , physics , monte carlo method , quantum mechanics , programming language
We design a meta-model for the loss distribution of a large credit portfolio in the Gaussian copula model. Using both the Wiener chaos expansion on the systemic economic factor and a Gaussian approximation on the associated truncated loss, we significantly reduce the computational time needed for sampling the loss and therefore estimating risk measures on the loss distribution. The accuracy of our method is confirmed by many numerical examples.
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