Open AccessDecadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects
Author(s) -
Scott B. Power,
Matthieu Lengaigne,
Antonietta Capotondi,
Myriam Khodri,
Jérôme Vialard,
Beyrem Jebri,
Éric Guilyardi,
Shayne McGregor,
JongSeong Kug,
Matthew Newman,
Michael J. McPhaden,
Gerald A. Meehl,
Doug Smith,
Julia E. Cole,
Julien EmileGeay,
Daniel J. Vimont,
Andrew T. Wittenberg,
Matthew Collins,
Geon-Il Kim,
Wenju Cai,
Yuko Okumura,
C. T. Y. Chung,
K. M. Cobb,
François Delage,
Yann Planton,
Aaron F. Z. Levine,
Feng Zhu,
Janet Sprintall,
Emanuele Di Lorenzo,
Xuebin Zhang,
JingJia Luo,
Xiaopei Lin,
Magdalena Balmaseda,
Guojian Wang,
Benjamin J. Henley
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 12.556
H-Index - 1186
eISSN - 1095-9203
pISSN - 0036-8075
DOI - 10.1126/science.aay9165
Subject(s) - pacific decadal oscillation , predictability , climatology , el niño southern oscillation , environmental science , climate change , range (aeronautics) , tropical atlantic , sea surface temperature , oceanography , geology , physics , materials science , quantum mechanics , composite material
A decades-long affair Decadal climate variability and change affects nearly every aspect of our world, including weather, agriculture, ecosystems, and the economy. Predicting its expression is thus of critical importance on multiple fronts. Poweret al . review what is known about tropical Pacific decadal climate variability and change, the degree to which it can be simulated and predicted, and how we might improve our understanding of it. More accurate projections will require longer and more detailed instrumental and paleoclimate records, improved climate models, and better data assimilation methods. —HJS
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