Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications | Zendy

James E. Hansen | Zendy; Larissa Nazarenko | Zendy; Reto Rüedy | Zendy; Makiko Sato | Zendy; J. K. Willis | Zendy; Anthony D. Del Genio | Zendy; D. Koch | Zendy; Andrew A. Lacis | Zendy; Ken K. Lo | Zendy; Surabi Me | Zendy; Tica Novakov | Zendy; Judith Perlwitz | Zendy; Gary L. Russell | Zendy; Gavin A. Schmidt | Zendy; N. Tausnev | Zendy

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Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications

Author(s) -

James E. Hansen,

Larissa Nazarenko,

Reto Rüedy,

Makiko Sato,

J. K. Willis,

Anthony D. Del Genio,

D. Koch,

Andrew A. Lacis,

Ken K. Lo,

Surabi Me,

Tica Novakov,

Judith Perlwitz,

Gary L. Russell,

Gavin A. Schmidt,

N. Tausnev

Publication year - 2005

Publication title -

science

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 12.556

H-Index - 1186

eISSN - 1095-9203

pISSN - 0036-8075

DOI - 10.1126/science.1110252

Subject(s) - environmental science , climate change , atmospheric sciences , climate commitment , greenhouse gas , greenhouse effect , climatology , earth (classical element) , climate model , acceleration , global warming , meteorology , effects of global warming , geology , geography , oceanography , physics , classical mechanics , mathematical physics

Our climate model, driven mainly by increasing human-made greenhouse gases and aerosols, among other forcings, calculates that Earth is now absorbing 0.85 +/- 0.15 watts per square meter more energy from the Sun than it is emitting to space. This imbalance is confirmed by precise measurements of increasing ocean heat content over the past 10 years. Implications include (i) the expectation of additional global warming of about 0.6 degrees C without further change of atmospheric composition; (ii) the confirmation of the climate system's lag in responding to forcings, implying the need for anticipatory actions to avoid any specified level of climate change; and (iii) the likelihood of acceleration of ice sheet disintegration and sea level rise.

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