Probabilistic Problem Solving
Author(s) -
Jean Thilmany
Publication year - 2002
Publication title -
mechanical engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.117
H-Index - 17
eISSN - 1943-5649
pISSN - 0025-6501
DOI - 10.1115/1.2002-jan-4
Subject(s) - probabilistic logic , computer science , software deployment , automotive industry , process (computing) , probabilistic design , statistical model , industrial engineering , product (mathematics) , operations research , risk analysis (engineering) , systems engineering , engineering design process , engineering , machine learning , artificial intelligence , software engineering , mathematics , mechanical engineering , medicine , geometry , aerospace engineering , operating system
This article reviews predictive technologies based on a probabilistic method of problem solving. These technologies are gaining a steady foothold as a method of finding answers to engineering and other types of problems. According to the developer of one such technology, these computer programs use mathematical models to predict the probability that something will or won’t happen a particular way in the future. The tools can be used for design, sensitivity analysis, mathematical modeling of complex processes, uncertainty analysis, competitive analysis, and process optimization among other things. The predictive technology from Unipass has been used by the research center to design gas turbines, helicopters, and elevators. The probabilistic method and the newer predictive technologies that use it have some ardent backers. For instance, the probabilistic methods committee of the Society of Automotive Engineers states its mission as: to enable and facilitate rapid deployment of probabilistic technology to enhance the competitiveness of our industries by better, faster, greener, smarter, affordable, and reliable product development.
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