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Aggregate and Firm‐level Volatility in the Japanese Economy
Author(s) -
Kim Young Gak,
Kwon Hyeog Ug
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
the japanese economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.205
H-Index - 28
eISSN - 1468-5876
pISSN - 1352-4739
DOI - 10.1111/jere.12132
Subject(s) - volatility (finance) , economics , volatility risk premium , volatility swap , econometrics , forward volatility , monetary economics , covariance , volatility smile , financial economics , implied volatility , statistics , mathematics
In this paper, we investigate the volatility of sales at the firm and the aggregate level using the longitudinal data set of the Financial Statements Statistics of Corporations ( FSSC ). The main findings are as follows. First, firm‐level volatility decreased until the mid‐1990s, but then increased again. Second, aggregate‐level volatility steadily decreased until the mid‐1990s and remained low after that. Third, decomposing the total variance of the growth rate of aggregated sales, we find that the divergence between firm‐level and aggregate‐level volatility is caused by the drastic decline and subsequent low level of the covariance of sales growth between different firms and the increase in individual firms' sales volatility.

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