Understanding J apan's Capital Goods Exports
Author(s) -
Thorbecke Willem
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
the japanese economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.205
H-Index - 28
eISSN - 1468-5876
pISSN - 1352-4739
DOI - 10.1111/jere.12073
Subject(s) - economics , capital good , east asia , productivity , ordinary least squares , international economics , capital (architecture) , international trade , sample (material) , slowdown , monetary economics , macroeconomics , goods and services , economy , china , econometrics , economic growth , history , chemistry , archaeology , chromatography , political science , law
J apan is the leading supplier of sophisticated capital goods to E ast A sian countries. These goods embody advanced technologies and facilitate learning and productivity growth. Capital goods also represent 30–40% of J apan's exports. This paper investigates the determinants of these exports. Results from dynamic ordinary least squares estimation indicate that exports depend on exchange rates, income in the importing countries and downstream countries' exports to the rest of the world. Results from out‐of‐sample forecasts indicate that J apanese exports crashed in 2009 because of the perfect storm of a yen appreciation, a global slowdown and a collapse in Asia's exports.
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