Pricing N ikkei 225 Options Using Realized Volatility
Author(s) -
Ubukata Masato,
Watanabe Toshiaki
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
the japanese economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.205
H-Index - 28
eISSN - 1468-5876
pISSN - 1352-4739
DOI - 10.1111/jere.12024
Subject(s) - volatility (finance) , econometrics , autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average , economics , realized variance , financial economics , implied volatility , long memory
This article examines option pricing performance using realized volatilities with or without handling microstructure noise, non‐trading hours and large jumps. The dynamics of realized volatility is specified by ARFIMA(X ) and HAR(X ) models. The main results using put options on the N ikkei 225 index are that: (i) the ARFIMAX model performs best; (ii) the H ansen and L unde (2005a) adjustment for non‐trading hours improves the performance; (iii) methods for reducing microstructure noise‐induced bias yield better performance, while if the H ansen– L unde adjustment is used, the other methods are not necessarily needed; and (iv) the performance is unaffected by removing large jumps from realized volatility.
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