Liquidity, Term Spreads and Monetary Policy
Author(s) -
Aksoy Yunus,
Basso Henrique S.
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
the economic journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 4.683
H-Index - 160
eISSN - 1468-0297
pISSN - 0013-0133
DOI - 10.1111/ecoj.12087
Subject(s) - profitability index , portfolio , market liquidity , monetary policy , economics , monetary economics , maturity (psychological) , exploit , yield curve , investment (military) , yield (engineering) , term (time) , financial economics , finance , interest rate , physics , quantum mechanics , psychology , developmental psychology , materials science , computer security , politics , computer science , law , political science , metallurgy
We propose a model with segmented markets that delivers endogenous variations in term spreads driven by banks' portfolio decisions while facing maturity risk. Future profitability influences the term premium that banks require to carry this risk. When expected profitability is relatively high (low) spreads are low (high). Spread fluctuations feed back into the macroeconomy through investment decisions. Econometric evidence corroborates this link between expected financial profitability and yield spreads. Finally, we analyse unconventional monetary policy by allowing banks to sell assets to the central bank. These interventions exploit a new channel of policy transmission through banks' portfolio choice affecting the yield curve.
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