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Estimating times of extinction in the fossil record
Author(s) -
Steve C. Wang,
Charles R. Marshall
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
biology letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.596
H-Index - 110
eISSN - 1744-957X
pISSN - 1744-9561
DOI - 10.1098/rsbl.2015.0989
Subject(s) - fossil record , extinction (optical mineralogy) , biology , taxon , paleontology , extinction event , interval (graph theory) , ecology , mathematics , demography , population , biological dispersal , combinatorics , sociology
Because the fossil record is incomplete, the last fossil of a taxon is a biased estimate of its true time of extinction. Numerous methods have been developed in the palaeontology literature for estimating the true time of extinction using ages of fossil specimens. These methods, which typically give a confidence interval for estimating the true time of extinction, differ in the assumptions they make and the nature and amount of data they require. We review the literature on such methods and make some recommendations for future directions.

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