A Theory of Follicle Selection: II. Computer Simulation of Estradiol Administration in the Primate

A theory of follicle selection (Lacker, 1981) is tested in the primate by simulating the effects of estradiol administration at different times, strengths, and durations during the follicular phase of the menstrual cycle (Clark et al., 1981; Zeleznik, 1981; Dierschke et al., 1985). The theory can account for the observed atretogenic effects of circulating estradiol on follicle development including full, partial, and delayed atresia of the dominant follicle (Dierschke et al., 1985) and can explain why similar estradiol doses achieve different qualitative effects when given at different times during the cycle. The theory predicts that recovery from early atresia may be possible, and it can also account for the loss of control in the number of maturing follicles that has been observed when estradiol antibodies are given in the midfollicular phase (Zeleznik et al., 1985). These results support the hypothesis that the selection mechanism in the primate is a consequence of feedback involving an essentially equipotent follicle population interacting through circulating estradiol and pituitary gonadotropins. A quantitative test of the theory awaits experimental identification of the maturation surfaces that are predicted by it. An experimental design for this purpose is proposed.