Is Economic Volatility Detrimental to Global Sustainability?
Author(s) -
Yongfu Huang
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
the world bank economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.542
H-Index - 89
eISSN - 1564-698X
pISSN - 0258-6770
DOI - 10.1093/wber/lhr042
Subject(s) - volatility (finance) , economics , sustainability , monetary economics , natural resource , sustainable development , market liquidity , international economics , panel data , emerging markets , macroeconomics , finance , econometrics , ecology , biology , political science , law
In a dynamic panel data model allowing for error cross-section dependence, output volatility is found to impede sustainable development. Through a financial development channel (liquidity liability ratio), output volatility exerts a significant effect on depletion of natural resources, a key component of sustainability. Low-income countries, low energy-intensity countries, and low trade-share countries tend to be especially vulnerable to macroeconomic volatility and shocks. The findings highlight the interaction between global financial markets and the wider economy as a key factor influencing sustainable development, with important implications for macroeconomic and environmental policies in an integrated global green economy.
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