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How Does Risk Management Influence Production Decisions? Evidence from a Field Experiment
Author(s) -
Shawn Cole,
Xavier Giné,
James Vickery
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
review of financial studies
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 12.8
H-Index - 190
eISSN - 1465-7368
pISSN - 0893-9454
DOI - 10.1093/rfs/hhw080
Subject(s) - production (economics) , product (mathematics) , cash , business , ex ante , risk management , agricultural economics , economics , finance , geometry , mathematics , macroeconomics
Weather is a key source of income risk, especially in emerging market economies. This paper uses a randomized controlled trial involving Indian farmers to study how an innovative rainfall insurance product affects production decisions. The authors find that insurance provision induces farmers to invest more in higher-return but rainfall-sensitive cash crops, particularly among educated farmers. This shift in behavior occurs ex ante, when realized monsoon rainfall is still uncertain. The results suggest that financial innovation can mitigate the real effects of uninsured production risk.

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