Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study | Zendy

K Zhao | Zendy; Long Cheng | Zendy; Yan Wang | Zendy; Tieyong Zeng | Zendy; Xinmiao Fu | Zendy

Open Access

Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study

Author(s) -

K Zhao,

Long Cheng,

Yan Wang,

Tieyong Zeng,

Xinmiao Fu

Publication year - 2020

Publication title -

journal of public health

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.916

H-Index - 82

eISSN - 1741-3850

pISSN - 1741-3842

DOI - 10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046

Subject(s) - covid-19 , beijing , china , work (physics) , outbreak , public health , geography , environmental health , socioeconomics , medicine , economics , virology , engineering , disease , mechanical engineering , nursing , archaeology , pathology , infectious disease (medical specialty)

The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.

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