Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States
Author(s) -
Laura Matrajt,
Holly Janes,
Joshua T. Schiffer,
Dobromir Dimitrov
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
open forum infectious diseases
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.546
H-Index - 35
ISSN - 2328-8957
DOI - 10.1093/ofid/ofab341
Subject(s) - medicine , psychological intervention , covid-19 , vaccination , environmental health , population , demography , gerontology , virology , nursing , disease , sociology , infectious disease (medical specialty)
Using a mathematical model, we estimated the potential impact on mortality and total infections of completely lifting community nonpharmaceutical interventions when only a small proportion of the population has been fully vaccinated in 2 states in the United States. Lifting all community nonpharmaceutical interventions immediately is predicted to result in twice as many deaths over the next 6 months as a more moderate reopening allowing 70% of prepandemic contacts.
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