What fiscal policy is most effective? A meta-regression analysis | Zendy

Sebastian Gechert | Zendy

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What fiscal policy is most effective? A meta-regression analysis

Author(s) -

Sebastian Gechert

Publication year - 2015

Publication title -

oxford economic papers

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.68

H-Index - 69

eISSN - 1464-3812

pISSN - 0030-7653

DOI - 10.1093/oep/gpv027

Subject(s) - stylized fact , multiplier (economics) , econometrics , economics , meta regression , fiscal policy , regression analysis , regression , set (abstract data type) , public spending , unit (ring theory) , public economics , macroeconomics , meta analysis , mathematics , statistics , computer science , political science , medicine , mathematics education , politics , law , programming language

We apply meta regression analysis to a unique data set of 104 studies on multiplier effects with 1069 reported multipliers in order to derive stylized facts and to quantify the differing effectiveness of the composition of fiscal impulses, adjusted for the interference of study-design characteristics and sample specifics. As a major result, we find that public spending multipliers are close to one and about 0.3 to 0.4 units larger than tax and transfer multipliers. Public investment multipliers are even larger by approximately 0.5 units. Reported multipliers vary with study-design, thus, policy consulting based on a certain multiplier study should lay open by how much specification affects the results. Our meta analysis provides guidance concerning influential factors, their sign and magnitude.

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