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Do the solar flares originating from an individual active region follow a random process or a memory-dependent correlation?
Author(s) -
Wang Hong Lei,
Chuan Li,
Feng Chen,
Shiying Zhong,
Zigong Xu,
P F Chen
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
monthly notices of the royal astronomical society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.058
H-Index - 383
eISSN - 1365-8711
pISSN - 0035-8711
DOI - 10.1093/mnras/staa688
Subject(s) - physics , solar flare , flare , astrophysics , magnetohydrodynamics , magnetohydrodynamic drive , magnetohydrodynamic turbulence , binary number , statistical physics , astronomy , plasma , quantum mechanics , arithmetic , mathematics
We investigate the waiting time statistics of solar flares both in a flare-productive active region (AR 12673) of the solar cycle 24 and in a three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulated AR. The statistical models of a discrete random process and a continuous memory-dependent process are applied to interpret the waiting time distributions (WTDs) of solar flares. Our results indicate that the occurrence of a solar flare in an individual AR maintains a certain amount of memory, and probably arises from MHD turbulence rather than from intermittent avalanches in a self-organized criticality system. It differs from the occurrence of ‘super flares’ when treating the star/Sun as a single non-linear system.

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