Open AccessProjecting the COVID-19 epidemic risk in France for the summer 2021
Author(s) -
Mattia Mazzoli,
Eugenio Valdano,
Vittoria Colizza
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
journal of travel medicine
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.985
H-Index - 59
eISSN - 1708-8305
pISSN - 1195-1982
DOI - 10.1093/jtm/taab129
Subject(s) - medicine , covid-19 , virology , pandemic , betacoronavirus , crowding , coronavirus infections , demography , outbreak , infectious disease (medical specialty) , disease , neuroscience , sociology , biology
The next weeks will be critical in determining the conditions and timing of the 4th wave of COVID-19 in France. We assessed epidemic risk to assist spatially targeted surveillance and control. Southwest is estimated to be at highest risk, due to summer crowding, low acquired immunity and Delta variant hotspots.
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