Calibration drift in regression and machine learning models for acute kidney injury
Author(s) -
Sharon E. Davis,
Thomas A. Lasko,
Guanhua Chen,
Edward D. Siew,
Michael E. Matheny
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
journal of the american medical informatics association
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1527-974X
pISSN - 1067-5027
DOI - 10.1093/jamia/ocx030
Subject(s) - calibration , random forest , regression , computer science , machine learning , regression analysis , confidence interval , predictive modelling , prediction interval , population , artificial intelligence , statistics , linear regression , medicine , mathematics , environmental health
Predictive analytics create opportunities to incorporate personalized risk estimates into clinical decision support. Models must be well calibrated to support decision-making, yet calibration deteriorates over time. This study explored the influence of modeling methods on performance drift and connected observed drift with data shifts in the patient population.
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