A Bayesian approach to synthesize estimates of the size of hidden populations: the Anchored Multiplier | Zendy

Paul Wesson | Zendy; Ali Mirzazadeh | Zendy; Willi McFarland | Zendy

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A Bayesian approach to synthesize estimates of the size of hidden populations: the Anchored Multiplier

Author(s) -

Paul Wesson,

Ali Mirzazadeh,

Willi McFarland

Publication year - 2018

Publication title -

international journal of epidemiology

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 3.406

H-Index - 208

eISSN - 1464-3685

pISSN - 0300-5771

DOI - 10.1093/ije/dyy132

Subject(s) - multiplier (economics) , statistics , point estimation , bayesian probability , sample size determination , credible interval , confidence interval , population , population size , mathematics , econometrics , medicine , environmental health , economics , macroeconomics

The multiplier method is one of the most frequently used population size estimation (PSE) methods for key populations, yet estimates from this method are often inconsistent with each other, other PSE methods and local knowledge. We developed a novel Bayesian approach, the 'Anchored Multiplier', which synthesizes estimates from multipliers coupled to an a priori estimate to arrive at a single consensus estimate and credible range.

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