Why representativeness should be avoided
Author(s) -
Kenneth J. Rothman,
John Gallacher,
Elizabeth E. Hatch
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
international journal of epidemiology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 3.406
H-Index - 208
eISSN - 1464-3685
pISSN - 0300-5771
DOI - 10.1093/ije/dys223
Subject(s) - representativeness heuristic , medicine , geography , environmental health , statistics , mathematics
The essence of knowledge is generalisation. That rubbing wood in a certain way can produce fire is a knowledge derived by generalisation from individual experiences; the statement means that rubbing wood in this way will always produce fire. The art of discovery is therefore the art of correct generalisation. What is irrelevant, such as the particular shape or size of the piece of wood used, is to be excluded from the generalisation; what is relevant, for example, the dryness of the wood, is to be included in it. The meaning of the term relevant can thus be defined: that is relevant which must be mentioned for the generalisation to be valid. The separation of relevant from irrelevant factors is the beginning of knowledge. —Hans Reichenbach
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