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tuberculosis in successive decades. Am J Epidemiol 2008;141:790. 41 Kermack WO, McKendrick AG, McKinley PL. Death-rates in Great Britain and Sweden. Some general regularities and their significance. Lancet 1934;31:683–703. 42 Susser M. Commentary: the longitudinal perspective and cohort analysis. Int J Epidemiol 2001;30:684–87. 43 Davey Smith G, Kuh D. Commentary: William Ogilvy Kermack and the childhood origins of adult health and disease. Int J Epidemiol 2001;30:696–703. 44 Korteweg R. The age curve in lung cancer. Br J Cancer 1952;5:21–27. 45 Susser M, Stein Z. Civilization and peptic ulcer. Lancet 1962;115–19. 46 MacMahon B, Terry WD. Application of cohort analysis to the study of time trends in neoplastic disease. J Chronic Dis 1958;7:24–35. 47 Forsdahl A. Poor living-conditions in childhood and adolescence an important risk factor for arteriosclerotic heart-disease. Br J Prev Soc Med 1977;31:91–95. 48 Kuh D, Ben-Shlomo Y. A Life-course Approach to Chronic Disease Epidemiology. Oxford: Oxford Medical Publications, 1997. 49 Lynch J, Davey Smith G. A life course approach to chronic disease epidemiology. Annu Rev Public Health 2005;26:1–35. 50 Kunitz SJ. Sex, race and social role-history and the social determinants of health. Int J Epidemiol 2007;36:3–10.

Commentary: Reconciling historical epidemiological, bacteriological and immunological observations in tuberculosis