Modelling hepatitis C virus incidence, prevalence and long-term sequelae in Australia, 2001
Author(s) -
Matthew Law,
Gregory J. Dore,
Nicky Bath,
Sandra Thompson,
Nick Crofts,
Kate Dolan,
Wendy Giles,
Paul Gow,
John Kaldor,
Stuart Loveday,
Elizabeth E. Powell,
Jenean Spencer,
Alex Wodak
Publication year - 2003
Publication title -
international journal of epidemiology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 3.406
H-Index - 208
eISSN - 1464-3685
pISSN - 0300-5771
DOI - 10.1093/ije/dyg101
Subject(s) - incidence (geometry) , medicine , hepatitis a virus , term (time) , epidemiology , virology , pediatrics , environmental health , virus , physics , quantum mechanics , optics
To plan an appropriate public health response to the hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic requires that estimates of HCV incidence and prevalence, and projections of the long-term sequelae of infection, are as accurate as possible. In this paper, mathematical models are used to synthesize data on the epidemiology and natural history of HCV in Australia to estimate HCV incidence and prevalence in Australia to end 2001, and project future trends in the long-term sequelae of HCV infection.
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