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Predicting Influenza H3N2 Vaccine Efficacy From Evolution of the Dominant Epitope
Author(s) -
Melia E. Bonomo,
Michael W. Deem
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
clinical infectious diseases
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 3.44
H-Index - 336
eISSN - 1537-6591
pISSN - 1058-4838
DOI - 10.1093/cid/ciy323
Subject(s) - medicine , epitope , influenza vaccine , virology , immunology , computational biology , vaccination , antibody , biology
We predict vaccine efficacy with a measure of antigenic distance between influenza A(H3N2) and vaccine viruses based on amino acid substitutions in the dominant epitope. In 2016-2017, our model predicts 19% efficacy compared with 20% observed. This tool assists candidate vaccine selection by predicting human protection against circulating strains.

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