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Prioritization of obesity prevention and management policy is based on one's understanding of the health risks associated with increasing body weight. However, there is evidence that the magnitude of these health risks may be changing over time. Here, the authors analyze the theoretical drivers of these changes and then examine whether there is empirical evidence to support the theory. They conclude that, although the mortality risks associated with increasing body weight may be decreasing over time, the overall health burden appears likely to increase.

Is the Health Burden Associated With Obesity Changing?