Open AccessForecast and soybean production base in East Java
Author(s) -
Soetriono,
Ariq Dewi Maharani,
Dimas Bastara Zahrosa
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
journal of physics. conference series
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.21
H-Index - 85
eISSN - 1742-6596
pISSN - 1742-6588
DOI - 10.1088/1742-6596/1832/1/012005
Subject(s) - java , production (economics) , agricultural science , economic base analysis , commodity , base (topology) , agricultural economics , mathematics , environmental science , business , computer science , economics , operating system , mathematical analysis , finance , macroeconomics , microeconomics
East Java Province as one base regions of the soybean commodity. Soybean also provides added value, when processed into tofu, tempeh, chips, soy sauce and other products. The fact is that agro-industry activities are still dependent on imported raw materials. The objectives of this study is to forecast soybean commodity production and find out soybean production base in East Java. The locations of the study are East Java Province, because it has the largest harvest area and highest production in Indonesia. The research method applies an analytical method. The data collection method uses secondary data, in which the available statistical data has been published by BPS. The data analysis method used is base and non-base sector analysis Location Quotient and Box-Jenkins Model (ARIMA) analysis. The results show that out of 38 district and city in East Java, ther are 10 district soybeans production base. The district of soybean production base is Sampang Banyuwangi, Nganjuk, Bangkalan, Lamongan, Bojonegoro, Trenggalek, Blitar, Ponorogo and Jember District. The highest LQ value of soybean base production is Sampang district of 5,49; Banyuwangi district of 2,77 and Nganjuk district of 2,00. The development of soybean production forecasting in East Java in 2018-2027 fluctuations, tends to be constant and increase.