Identifying Agglomeration Spillovers: Evidence from Winners and Losers of Large Plant Openings
Author(s) -
Michael Greenstone,
Richard Hornbeck,
Enrico Moretti
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
journal of political economy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 21.034
H-Index - 186
eISSN - 1537-534X
pISSN - 0022-3808
DOI - 10.1086/653714
Subject(s) - total factor productivity , spillover effect , economies of agglomeration , productivity , economics , economic geography , agricultural economics , labour economics , microeconomics , macroeconomics
We quantify agglomeration spillovers by comparing changes in total factor productivity (TFP) among incumbent plants in “winning” counties that attracted a large manufacturing plant and “losing” counties that were the new plant's runner‐up choice. Winning and losing counties have similar trends in TFP prior to the new plant opening. Five years after the opening, incumbent plants' TFP is 12 percent higher in winning counties. This productivity spillover is larger for plants sharing similar labor and technology pools with the new plant. Consistent with spatial equilibrium models, labor costs increase in winning counties, indicating that profits ultimately increase less than productivity
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