Open AccessA simple model for control of COVID-19 infections on an urban campus
Author(s) -
Robert A. Brown
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 5.011
H-Index - 771
eISSN - 1091-6490
pISSN - 0027-8424
DOI - 10.1073/pnas.2105292118
Subject(s) - contact tracing , covid-19 , quarantine , infection control , isolation (microbiology) , vaccination , population , simple (philosophy) , public health , environmental health , medicine , computer science , virology , geography , biology , infectious disease (medical specialty) , intensive care medicine , pathology , bioinformatics , disease , philosophy , epistemology
Significance A simple model shows that control of COVID-19 infection driven by asymptomatic transmission on an urban, residential college campus is possible by instituting comprehensive public health protocols founded on surveillance testing and contact tracing. The model gives expressions for the number of infections expected as a function of these protocols and compares well with data from a large residential university for fall 2020.