Unraveling the blue paradox: Incomplete analysis yields incorrect conclusions about Phoenix Islands Protected Area closure | Zendy

Quentin Hanich | Zendy; Randi Rotjan | Zendy; Transform Aqorau | Zendy; Megan Bailey | Zendy; Brooke Campbell | Zendy; Noella J. Gray | Zendy; Rebecca L. Gruby | Zendy; John Hampton | Zendy; Yoshitaka Ota | Zendy; Hannah Parris | Zendy; Chris Reid | Zendy; U. Rashid Sumaila | Zendy; Wilf Swartz | Zendy

Open Access

Unraveling the blue paradox: Incomplete analysis yields incorrect conclusions about Phoenix Islands Protected Area closure

Author(s) -

Quentin Hanich,

Randi Rotjan,

Transform Aqorau,

Megan Bailey,

Brooke Campbell,

Noella J. Gray,

Rebecca L. Gruby,

John Hampton,

Yoshitaka Ota,

Hannah Parris,

Chris Reid,

U. Rashid Sumaila,

Wilf Swartz

Publication year - 2018

Publication title -

proceedings of the national academy of sciences

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

eISSN - 1091-6490

pISSN - 0027-8424

DOI - 10.1073/pnas.1815600115

Subject(s) - fishing , phoenix , closure (psychology) , geography , surge , term (time) , exclusive economic zone , fishery , political science , meteorology , biology , archaeology , physics , law , metropolitan area , quantum mechanics

In PNAS, McDermott et al. (1) analyze a 2014–2016 central Pacific fishing surge, focusing on the Phoenix Islands Protected Area (PIPA) inside the Kiribati exclusive economic zone (EEZ). The authors incorrectly attribute the surge to the anticipated industrial fishing closure of PIPA and describe the phenomenon as a blue paradox (i.e., an unintended negative consequence of a conservation policy). However, a broader analysis demonstrates that this surge was unrelated to the closure of PIPA and was due to a strong El Nino event that created a fishing surge across multiple EEZs and high seas, not just PIPA (2).McDermott et al. (1) do not consider regional data that reveal confounding factors. Long-term catch … [↵][1]1To whom correspondence should be addressed. Email: hanich{at}uow.edu.au. [1]: #xref-corresp-1-1

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